Sichtflug forecast benchmark

We measure ourselves. Publicly.

Sichtflug checks its own wind forecast every ten minutes against real mountain stations. Even on days when we are not most accurate.

Burnair values for today are missing. We don't show stale numbers, so the Burnair line pauses until the next daily refresh arrives.
MeteoParapente values for today are missing. The value pauses until the next refresh.
14-day average · n = 37,218 measurement pairslower is better

On average, not more than 5.0 km/h off.

Sichtflug5.0 km/h
Burnair5.2 km/h
MeteoParapente6.2 km/h
Open-MeteoRaw model5.1 km/h
sichtflug.app

Live today

every 10 min
Sichtflug
Burnair
MeteoParapente
Open-Meteo

Mean deviation between forecast and measured wind. Under 5 km/h is shared measurement noise, 5–8 is a normal day. Open-Meteo is not a pilot product, but an ICON-D2 raw-model reference without terrain modelling.

Why it works

15×

fresh model runs per day.

We combine three weather models: MeteoSwiss ICON-CH1 across the Alps, plus DWD ICON-D2 and ICON-EU. Together that's 15 fresh runs per day. We pull each new run as soon as it lands and roll the forecast forward. On the way to the launch you get a number from a few hours ago, not last night's.

0 m

above your launch.

We read native model levels and vertically interpolate to your launch's actual altitude. The value sits where you fly. On a high summit the real wind is often a different world from the air a few metres above the valley.

How to read the altitude wind profile
1 km

model resolution across the Alps.

Sichtflug uses MeteoSwiss ICON-CH1 for altitude wind across the Alps at 1 km resolution. This makes narrow valleys, ridge crests, and local wind systems visible that are often averaged out in coarser grids.

2

ICON-D2 grids processed in parallel.

ICON-D2 is published in two different grid projections. Sichtflug processes both and picks the more accurate one per launch. In our benchmarks about three to one in favour of the regular projection.

26

hand-picked station pairs.

We use carefully chosen sensors at national weather service summit masts and stations at the launch with clean siting for a neutral external comparison. Internally, we continuously calibrate our forecast models against more than 600 launch-site sensors.

The last 30 days

Daily values as table
Daily values (accessible table, last 30 days)
DateSichtflugBurnairMeteoParapenteOpen-Meteo
2026-08-114.2 km/h4.8 km/h5.6 km/h4.7 km/h
2026-08-104.7 km/h5.5 km/h6.1 km/h5.2 km/h
2026-08-094.0 km/h4.8 km/h6.0 km/h4.6 km/h
2026-08-084.1 km/h4.3 km/h5.3 km/h4.1 km/h
2026-08-074.0 km/h4.2 km/h5.8 km/h4.0 km/h
2026-08-065.8 km/h5.1 km/h6.8 km/h4.8 km/h
2026-08-055.3 km/h5.2 km/h5.6 km/h4.9 km/h
2026-08-045.7 km/h5.3 km/h6.5 km/h5.7 km/h
2026-08-035.6 km/h5.9 km/h6.2 km/h6.1 km/h
2026-08-026.4 km/h6.3 km/h7.6 km/h6.7 km/h
2026-08-015.5 km/h5.6 km/h6.4 km/h5.4 km/h
2026-07-315.9 km/h6.1 km/h7.4 km/h6.4 km/h
2026-07-304.2 km/h4.3 km/h5.6 km/h4.4 km/h
2026-07-294.0 km/h4.6 km/h5.4 km/h4.7 km/h
2026-07-283.8 km/h4.4 km/h5.2 km/h3.8 km/h
2026-07-278.2 km/h13.2 km/h9.5 km/h9.2 km/h
2026-07-266.3 km/h7.0 km/h8.1 km/h5.8 km/h
2026-07-255.3 km/h6.6 km/h7.2 km/h6.1 km/h
2026-07-244.6 km/h5.7 km/h5.2 km/h4.4 km/h
2026-07-237.3 km/h11.1 km/h8.1 km/h9.4 km/h
2026-07-225.4 km/h6.4 km/h5.9 km/h6.0 km/h
2026-07-215.3 km/h7.2 km/h6.9 km/h5.5 km/h
2026-07-204.9 km/h5.7 km/h6.6 km/h5.2 km/h
2026-07-195.1 km/h7.5 km/h8.0 km/h6.0 km/h
2026-07-185.9 km/h7.8 km/h7.5 km/h6.2 km/h
2026-07-176.8 km/h6.8 km/h6.9 km/h6.2 km/h
2026-07-164.8 km/h5.7 km/h5.8 km/h5.2 km/h
2026-07-155.8 km/h7.0 km/h7.6 km/h6.2 km/h
2026-07-146.2 km/h7.1 km/h7.9 km/h6.2 km/h
2026-07-135.5 km/h5.7 km/h6.1 km/h5.5 km/h

Download CSV

Which stations we use

Currently 26 pairs. Each links to the launch on Sichtflug. We update the list when sensors fail or better stations become available.

Methodology & questions

What we measure per provider

Sichtflug: wind at launch altitude, the value the pilot sees on the launch row of the altitude wind chart. ICON-D2 (or CH1 in the Alps) model level, vertically interpolated to the launch's actual elevation.

Open-Meteo: fixed 80 m AGL wind (wind_speed_80m) from the public ICON-D2 API.

Burnair: wind strength at the model level whose AMSL height is closest to launch altitude, from the public Burnair point API.

MeteoParapente: wind at ground level, the lowest level of the public windgram (z[0] = model terrain height). This is the value the pilot reads at the bottom of the MPP windgram chart.

For each provider, we use the public wind value shown in that provider's forecast surface.

Which stations we use

Weather stations across the DACH region, picked by siting. We prefer summit masts of national weather services and stations mounted cleanly at the launch itself.

What we deliberately leave out: sensors in the wind shadow of vegetation or terrain edges. They would produce an apparently large forecast error. In reality it would be local sheltering, not the model. An honest comparison only happens when the sensor actually measures what the model predicts.

What the number is not

A point forecast cannot replace what is actually happening in the valley, behind the ridge, or at the venturi. The deviation number is an average difference to sensors in open terrain. It says nothing about what may come through the saddle at your specific launch today.

Values under 5 km/h sit inside the shared model and measurement uncertainty. 5 to 8 km/h is typical for days with a clear synoptic situation. Spikes above that are usually foehn transitions, isolated convection, or sunrise/sunset. Situations no weather model captures reliably.

Refresh cadence

Live every ten minutes between 05:00 and 21:00 local time. When data from a provider is missing, we show no number. Better a gap than something stale. We correct factual errors within 48 hours; email address is below.

What does the number mean for my flight decision?

It describes how close on average the model forecast was to reality at the stations used here. At your specific launch the deviation may be smaller or larger. Use the forecast as a starting point. Your on-site observation remains decisive.

Who runs the comparison?

Sichtflug compares its own forecast against three others. That is not neutral, but it is transparent. Source code, station list, and methodology are public. External validation is welcome.

Are the daily values available as CSV?

Yes, available for download below. Columns: date, provider, horizon, n, mean deviation wind speed, mean deviation wind direction, bias.

Are other providers like Meteoblue compared?

Not currently. Each additional provider is hand work. The comparison starts with the ones most commonly consulted in practice.

Data inquiries and corrections: abm@sichtflug.app

We correct factual errors within 48 hours of notice.